Analysis: Trump’s legal crisis may bring deeper and newer


However, when he returns after a lifetime of commercial bankruptcies, scandals, and impeachments, it may soon be time to consider whether the former has been entrenched after a string of legal defeats tighten the net of investigation around him. The impunity of the President is starting to thwart him. ,

While he appears to be slipping deeper into a legal quagmire, some clear warnings are in order. Plenty of people who have bet that their careers would be ruined with Trump’s law, truth and reality, have been proven wrong since his riotous entry into the 2016 presidential campaign. And his refusal to live by the rules that govern everyone is, in fact, a major component of his political appeal to millions of voters.

Such followers see their disdain for the elite and power which is reflected in its sufferings and crusades. Even outside of office, Trump remains the dominant force in the Republican Party. And, of all the latest legal threats currently facing him, the former president has yet to be proven guilty.

If his luck runs out, the legal protection offered by the presidency could convince Trump even more about the merits of a second campaign as he shapes 2024. But even their fate may run out at some point, and they may find it difficult to escape the consequences of their political crimes and alleged violations of the law.

Behind the scenes in Republican politics, the rising tide of scandal may spark conversation about whether Trump is the ideal standard-bearer for the party going forward — at least when speaking of a significant general election audience in the vote-rich liberal suburbs. comes. Already, some Republicans fear Trump’s obsession with his false claims that he was illegally ousted from power, the GOP focusing on high inflation and anger over gas prices, school lockdowns and immigration. Will affect the mid-term election campaign.

A recent CNN poll supported the idea that Trump’s appeal may not be as convincing as it once was. Some of the Republican and Republican-leaning respondents to the poll conducted by SSRS said they wanted the GOP to re-nominate them, while 49% wanted someone else. The more the former president is harassed, the more open voters may be to a candidate who promises Trumpism without Trump.

Former Trump White House communications director Alyssa Farah Griffin suggested on CNN’s “The Lead with Jake Tapper” on Thursday that if the former president’s legal woes deepen, he would go unnoticed among potential 2024 candidates.

“Not only is the retired former president looking at this from Florida, but I would also note that the potential 2024 Republican nominee, I believe, is paying a lot of attention to this,” Farah Griffin said.

“There’s a lot of people who are gearing up to run — considering. And they’re looking for an inauguration alley where Trump is weak. … If you’re Mike Pompeo or Mike Pence, this Opens a window for you if it goes ahead,” she said.

Still, there is much that can be settled by the political war chest of $122 million already amassed by the former president. And Trump would have to be seriously injured both politically and legally for a major Republican rising star to openly take him on in the 2024 primary. The former president will also benefit from the conservative media’s power to shape GOP base voters’ perceptions and spread misinformation about legal cases pending against him.

The right-wing machine’s enthusiasm for Trump was underscored again this week by his willingness to publicize claims that Hillary Clinton’s campaign spied on her White House and the Trump Organization. The allegations were the product of distortions of a secret legal filing by Special Counsel John Durham, who is probing the origins of the FBI’s Trump-Russia investigation.

a rough patch in the court

Thursday’s decision by New York Attorney General Letitia James concerning a civil investigation into the Trump Organization’s finances, is another rough patch for the former president. In a related development earlier in the week, his longtime accountant, Mazar, rejected a decade’s worth of financial documents he had prepared for him. Given that investigations are underway on claims that he amplified his wealth to obtain loans and underestimated their value for tax purposes, this looks like a very serious development for the former president.
And his bad days in court keep on coming. Thursday’s decision comes soon after the Supreme Court overturned Trump’s bid to keep White House documents secret from House scrutiny in the January 6 rebellion. His defeat raised the possibility that the committee would be able to piece together a comprehensive rebuild of the Trump team’s effort to prevent the election and its role in planning or instigating Joe Biden’s inauguration and rebellion.

Still, political dynamics in a deeply divided nation could save Trump from the worst possible damage from a damning final report by the committee.

But their problems do not end in Washington. A judge in Georgia last month granted a district attorney’s request for a special grand jury to investigate pressure on local officials to reverse her 2020 election loss.

And many other investigations and legal investigations are before Trump. For example, the Justice Department is investigating a plan to give seats to fake voters who supported him and his lies about voter fraud. He is also the target of several personal lawsuits, including those for his legacy by his niece Mary Trump and by his former attorney, Michael Cohen.

For any normal person, an encounter with the law is a cause of immense stress and financial anxiety. Few people have ever faced the onslaught of accountability that Trump must now stare at.

Yet the former president has lived his entire life in a vortex of scandal, controversy, legal entanglements, the risk of financial ruin and the fights he has raised or will never back down. Far from being pursued by legal and political scrutiny, Trump appears to be drawing strength from it, reversing attacks to create a cult of oppression around him with which his voters identify.

For example, when Mazar went on it, Trump issued a furious counterattack, making an unsubstantiated claim about his wealth – apparently about $6 billion – and himself as the victim of a larger conspiracy. featured in. He claimed that the tomb was moved because of “malicious intimidation” attacks against him by New York legal authorities.

“This crime against me is the continuation of a witch hunt the likes of which have never been seen before in this country,” wrote Trump, who has eased his legal troubles for political gain by suggesting that the black people pursuing him Prosecutors are racially motivated.

Trump released a familiar legal playbook

The Trump playbook is already at play after his latest setback.

First, the former president’s lawyers announced an immediate appeal. It is his right. But it is also in line with his previous legal strategy of tying the system up in endless litigation to avert the moment of truth.

For example, Trump went from a January 6 committee to the Supreme Court in his unsuccessful quest to keep White House call logs, records and other documents. He has seen what many experts see as outrageous claims of executive privilege to try to prevent the committee from talking to key witnesses.

In 2020, Trump and his allies filed a number of cases alleging election fraud – even though many were laughed out of court by judges. In a departure from another Trump strategy, those moves were rooted in his belief that any judgment against him is not based on the law, but on prejudice against him.

And, in another tried-and-tested tactic, Trump’s team attacked the judge following Thursday’s ruling.

Trump’s lawyer Ronald Fischetti said, ‘I am not surprised. “I didn’t believe at all that we would win in front of this judge.”

“We lost before we could argue,” he said. “I told my client, so I had no expectation that this judge would give us the relief we wanted.”

The former president’s team argues that Trump is the innocent victim of a political vendetta led by Democrats like James who fear he will reclaim the White House in the next presidential election. And his team has warned that attempting to force his statement during the civil trial is a ploy to endanger him in a separate criminal investigation being conducted by the Manhattan District Attorney.

But as part of his investigation, James alleges several “misleading statements and omissions” in the financial statements used to make tax submissions and obtain loans. Trump’s statement would not only run the risk of delving deeper into the opaque world of the family business, but it would also make it a potentially legally dangerous practice for a client with a reputation for exaggeration and an often distant relationship with truth.

Trump and his children will have the option of requesting their Fifth Amendment rights to defend themselves against self-incrimination. But the encounter could provide some disturbing moments for the lawyers who were accused of keeping them out of trouble.

And more broadly, there is also the possibility that a cascade of difficult legal woes could soon begin to raise questions about his famous political impunity.

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